Public track record for radar-admitted strategies.
A desk-style view of the simulated strategy book: current holdings, admission funnel, observed P&L, drawdown pressure, and the post-market tape. No broker is connected and no real order is routed.
Paper Strategy Desk
2 strategies observed · +0.0% ledger-tracked return · -3.5% max observed drawdown · 2W/0L
Returns are measured from local ledger observation price, not from the full historical backtest.
Methodology / Assumptions
- Simulated only: no live order execution, no order routing, and no real-money account state. An optional read-only Alpaca paper mirror can sync a local paper account, but never places orders.
- Only radar-approved strategies can enter paper observation.
- Observation slots, exposure limits, drawdown checks, and concentration gates constrain the simulated account.
- Daily Review summarizes deterministic observations; any LLM prose cannot change computed P&L or risk numbers.
- Paper observation does not imply future P&L.
Simulated Observation Since May
May 1, 2026 → July 10, 2026 · 48 trading days · 5 active strategies
Research portfolio tracking of the top-ranked strategy basket from May 1 onward. This mirrors how the desk observes performance over time — it is a simulated research portfolio, not a live trading account, and no orders are routed.
Since May 1, 2026, the simulated model portfolio returned +0.6% versus +5.0% for SPY and +7.7% for QQQ, with a max drawdown of -0.7%. Results are based on research backtests and paper-observation logic, not a live trading account.
Each leg’s own return over the same window. The blended portfolio return above is the equal-weight average of these legs — individual contributions are not a real-money allocation.
Simulated research portfolio — not a real-money account and not investment advice. Equal-weighted blend of 5 top-ranked research strategies, each normalized to 1.00 on 2026-05-01. Based on available historical market data and research backtests, not live execution.
Paper Observation During Market Stress
How radar-admitted strategies behave through the current regime. Simulated observation only — no live order execution and no orders routed.
- Selloff detectedStress score 7/100 · Risk-On Regime Active
- Radar candidates repricedStress-adjusted score applied to the shortlist
- High-risk strategies flagged0 flagged under stress, 1 resilient
- Paper observation continues1 live · simulation only, no orders routed
| Strategy | State | Stress | Today P&L | Current DD | Bench-rel DD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Low-Volatility Rotation JPM | holding | Watch | +0.1% | -0.6% | -38.6% | Suitable for continued observation |
Defensive Trend Pullback CAT | waiting signal | Resilient | +0.0% | -0.8% | -40.3% | Suitable for continued observation |
- • 1 of 2 observations are actively holding through the current regime.
- • 1 read as resilient and 0 as under stress under stress-adjusted diagnostics.
Simulated observation · stress-adjusted ranking · not investment advice. Historical backtests do not represent future returns.
Alpaca paper account mirror
Read-only sync for Alpaca paper account, open positions, and recent orders. This desk still does not submit, cancel, or route orders.
Strategies currently visible on the desk
Every visible strategy cleared the radar screen, then was constrained by slot count, exposure, drawdown, and concentration rules before it reached the simulated book. Ledger returns start at the local observation price.
| Desk rank | Strategy | Symbol | Ledger return | P&L | Entry → Current | Radar score | State | Ledger | Latest signal | Next check |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Low-Volatility Rotation lowvol-rotation-proxy | JPM | +0.0% | $0 | 2026-07-10 $336 → 2026-07-10 $336 | 86 | holding | session estimate 0 days live | 2026-06-16 · buy · low-volatility proxy rotation; dividend component not connected yet; signal date 2026-06-15; executed next open | 2026-07-12 09:35 ET |
| 2 | Defensive Trend Pullback sma200-rsi-pullback | CAT | +0.0% | $0 | 2026-07-10 $952 → 2026-07-10 $952 | 82 | waiting signal | session estimate 0 days live | 2026-07-10 · observe · SMA200 uptrend with RSI pullback rebound; observed after completed bar | 2026-07-12 09:35 ET |
Risk Budget
The desk can only observe strategies that fit the paper account limits. That keeps the public track record tied to the same guardrails the research engine uses.
Post-market auto-review
An automatic end-of-session read of the simulated book: P&L breadth, the weakest leg, how many observations came from the same scan, and today’s tape. No broker, no real orders — every count is a paper observation.
2026-07-10
2 simulated observations in the book — all 2 in profit. 20.0% of simulated capital is deployed.
Today's tape: 0 new entries, 0 exits, 3 skipped signals, 0 gate rejections. Weakest leg is Low-Volatility Rotation (JPM) at +0.0%.
- No flags this session — the book is within every guardrail and no leg needs attention.
Desk note · No flags this session — the book is within every guardrail and no leg needs attention.
2026-07-12 09:35 ET
2026-06-16 · buy · low-volatility proxy rotation; dividend component not connected yet; signal date 2026-06-15; executed next open
Observation uses next-open fills, 5 bps slippage, and $1 per trade. No live order execution or real orders are active.
Logged 2026-07-10 at $336. Current mark is $336 as of 2026-07-10; Persistence unavailable; showing a session-only paper ledger estimate.
2026-07-12 09:35 ET
2026-07-10 · observe · SMA200 uptrend with RSI pullback rebound; observed after completed bar
Observation uses next-open fills, 5 bps slippage, and $1 per trade. No live order execution or real orders are active.
Logged 2026-07-10 at $952. Current mark is $952 as of 2026-07-10; Persistence unavailable; showing a session-only paper ledger estimate.